Good morning,
A man walked into a cinema in Lekki at 2am, machete in hand, and attacked two security guards. One was stabbed to death. The attacker was later mobbed and killed. The police are investigating. It was supposed to be a night out. It became a nightmare. The question is whether the attacker acted alone, or whether there is a larger threat lurking in the shadows.
President Tinubu has left for a three-week annual vacation to Europe, starting in London. The political season is heating up ahead of the 2027 elections. His aides will be expected to manage the administration’s affairs in his absence. The vacation is being framed as routine, but the timing is significant. Given that the president failed to hand over to his vice, the question is whether the government can manage without him, or whether his absence will create a leadership vacuum.
Speaking of leadership vacuums, or more accurately, tussles, in Niger, the military government says it has regained control after soldiers launched an apparent mutiny in the capital, Niamey. Heavy gunfire and explosions were reported around Base 101, a military facility at the main airport, and the Plateau district, where the presidential palace and other key institutions are located. The unrest involved soldiers from several areas in southwestern Niger, with reports suggesting grievances over military conditions and heavy frontline casualties. The incident could further destabilise the Sahel region, creating a security vacuum that could be exploited by terrorist groups. The Nigerian stake is clear. The question is whether the government can maintain control or whether the situation will escalate.
While the President vacations and Niger mutinies, the ICPC has uncovered the full extent of Adeniyi Adeyemi’s fraud. He created more fictitious government agencies beyond PFIPC, including the FCT Investment Promotion Agency and the Foreign Investment Promotion Agency and Public-Private Partnership. He used forged legislative documents to open bank accounts in their names, operating two accounts with Unity Bank. The ICPC has recommended his prosecution. The question is whether the government will act on the findings and prevent future fraud.
There is some relief for Unity College staff. Over 2,000 Unity College personnel have received long-awaited financial relief as the Federal Ministry of Education resumed the disbursement of outstanding salary arrears. The arrears had caused significant hardship. The relief is real. The question is whether the government can ensure that the delays do not happen again.
Nigerians are consuming more data than ever before. The country saw 8.51 million terabytes of data consumption in the first half of 2026, driven by MTN and Airtel. Monthly usage rose from 1.26 million terabytes in February to 1.53 million terabytes in June. MTN generated ₦1.70 trillion in data revenue, while Airtel recorded ₦691 billion. But consumers continue to report poor service quality and high costs, underscoring the need for further infrastructure investment. The question is whether the investment will lead to better service or just higher profits.
And finally this morning there is the El-Rufai family. The brothers, known for wielding social media as a blunt weapon against critics, have turned on each other in a public meltdown. Bashir accused his brother Bello of hypocrisy, political betrayal and personal vices. The feud reflects the acrimonious fallout between their father, Nasir El-Rufai, and Kaduna State Governor Uba Sani. With their father detained and the family’s political machinery displaced, the domestic unity that once held the El-Rufai camp together has shattered. The question is whether the family can recover or whether the fracture is permanent.
Do have a great week.
Lolade


