Domestic refined petrol availability rose 39% nationwide. The increase was driven by expanded production output from Dangote Petroleum Refinery. Improved distribution efficiency also contributed. The surge marks a significant shift. Nigeria has historically relied on imported refined products. Domestic refining is now changing the supply picture.
Nigeria was a net importer of refined petrol for decades. The four state refineries never operated at capacity. In 2023, the government removed the fuel subsidy. It also floated the naira. Import costs rose. The Dangote Refinery began operations in 2024. It reached full capacity of 650,000 barrels per day in 2025. It now supplies the domestic market and exports surplus. In September 2026, the refinery opened its IPO. It is listing on the Nigerian Exchange.
The 39% increase reflects the refinery’s output. It also reflects improved logistics. Trucks and depots are moving product more efficiently. The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority has issued import licences for 830,000 tonnes in the fourth quarter. But domestic supply is growing. The regulator says imports are a buffer. The refinery says it can meet domestic demand. The tension continues.
The increase does not mean prices have fallen. Pump prices remain above ₦1,400 per litre in many states. The refinery sets its gantry price based on crude costs and exchange rates. The naira’s stability helps. Global crude prices above $100 per barrel add pressure. Supply availability and affordability are different things.
Winners: Dangote Refinery, which gains market share. Motorists, if supply stability improves. The government, which gains a domestic refining narrative. Logistics firms, which gain volume. Losers: Petrol importers, who lose market share. Foreign refineries, which lose a customer. Consumers, who still face high prices. The naira, if crude costs rise.
Bottom Line: Domestic petrol supply rose 39%. Dangote is driving it. Imports still matter. Prices remain high. Availability is not affordability.